| Term |
Estimate |
Standard Error |
P-Value |
State Type |
Party |
| (Intercept) |
-1.00085 |
0.00067 |
0 |
Battleground |
Democrat |
| avg_state_poll |
0.00457 |
0.00001 |
0 |
Battleground |
Democrat |
| incumbentTRUE |
-0.12380 |
0.00012 |
0 |
Battleground |
Democrat |
| gdp_growth_qt |
0.01343 |
0.00013 |
0 |
Battleground |
Democrat |
| prev_dem_margin |
-0.17055 |
0.00063 |
0 |
Battleground |
Democrat |
| black_change |
0.02196 |
0.00075 |
0 |
Battleground |
Democrat |
| age20_change |
0.55680 |
0.00031 |
0 |
Battleground |
Democrat |
| age65_change |
-0.49139 |
0.00090 |
0 |
Battleground |
Democrat |
| (Intercept) |
-1.59153 |
0.00054 |
0 |
Battleground |
Republican |
| avg_state_poll |
0.01624 |
0.00001 |
0 |
Battleground |
Republican |
| incumbentTRUE |
0.11805 |
0.00014 |
0 |
Battleground |
Republican |
| gdp_growth_qt |
-0.11454 |
0.00013 |
0 |
Battleground |
Republican |
| prev_dem_margin |
0.51439 |
0.00064 |
0 |
Battleground |
Republican |
| black_change |
0.11974 |
0.00072 |
0 |
Battleground |
Republican |
| age20_change |
0.24396 |
0.00037 |
0 |
Battleground |
Republican |
| age65_change |
-0.04209 |
0.00102 |
0 |
Battleground |
Republican |
| (Intercept) |
-1.97103 |
0.00068 |
0 |
Blue |
Republican |
| avg_state_poll |
0.02463 |
0.00002 |
0 |
Blue |
Republican |
| incumbentTRUE |
-0.00863 |
0.00017 |
0 |
Blue |
Republican |
| gdp_growth_qt |
0.03268 |
0.00018 |
0 |
Blue |
Republican |
| prev_dem_margin |
-0.88042 |
0.00074 |
0 |
Blue |
Republican |
| black_change |
0.30950 |
0.00076 |
0 |
Blue |
Republican |
| age20_change |
0.36853 |
0.00041 |
0 |
Blue |
Republican |
| age65_change |
0.08341 |
0.00125 |
0 |
Blue |
Republican |
| (Intercept) |
-0.26468 |
0.00092 |
0 |
Blue |
Democrat |
| avg_state_poll |
-0.01385 |
0.00002 |
0 |
Blue |
Democrat |
| incumbentTRUE |
0.02603 |
0.00013 |
0 |
Blue |
Democrat |
| gdp_growth_qt |
0.03987 |
0.00016 |
0 |
Blue |
Democrat |
| prev_dem_margin |
-1.10744 |
0.00077 |
0 |
Blue |
Democrat |
| black_change |
0.29501 |
0.00076 |
0 |
Blue |
Democrat |
| age20_change |
0.64706 |
0.00035 |
0 |
Blue |
Democrat |
| age65_change |
-0.41107 |
0.00125 |
0 |
Blue |
Democrat |
| (Intercept) |
-1.98804 |
0.00060 |
0 |
Red |
Republican |
| avg_state_poll |
0.02279 |
0.00001 |
0 |
Red |
Republican |
| incumbentTRUE |
0.05711 |
0.00021 |
0 |
Red |
Republican |
| gdp_growth_qt |
-0.08256 |
0.00019 |
0 |
Red |
Republican |
| prev_dem_margin |
-0.32042 |
0.00066 |
0 |
Red |
Republican |
| black_change |
0.41688 |
0.00097 |
0 |
Red |
Republican |
| age20_change |
0.24898 |
0.00040 |
0 |
Red |
Republican |
| age65_change |
0.60679 |
0.00155 |
0 |
Red |
Republican |
| (Intercept) |
0.29560 |
0.00083 |
0 |
Red |
Democrat |
| avg_state_poll |
-0.02574 |
0.00002 |
0 |
Red |
Democrat |
| incumbentTRUE |
-0.07304 |
0.00018 |
0 |
Red |
Democrat |
| gdp_growth_qt |
-0.15981 |
0.00015 |
0 |
Red |
Democrat |
| prev_dem_margin |
-0.03358 |
0.00082 |
0 |
Red |
Democrat |
| black_change |
0.23977 |
0.00095 |
0 |
Red |
Democrat |
| age20_change |
0.42825 |
0.00039 |
0 |
Red |
Democrat |
| age65_change |
-0.11715 |
0.00128 |
0 |
Red |
Democrat |