State Two-Party Popular Vote Predictions
State Biden Trump Biden's Vote Margin
AK 0.3966267 0.6033733 -0.206746653
AL 0.3458293 0.6541707 -0.308341340
AR 0.3259661 0.6740339 -0.348067822
AZ 0.4795581 0.5204419 -0.040883749
CA 0.6974063 0.3025937 0.394812646
CO 0.5869160 0.4130840 0.173831993
CT 0.6455087 0.3544913 0.291017492
DE 0.6562607 0.3437393 0.312521392
FL 0.4889101 0.5110899 -0.022179816
GA 0.4714922 0.5285078 -0.057015649
HI 0.7121072 0.2878928 0.424214454
IA 0.4658672 0.5341328 -0.068265574
ID 0.3363203 0.6636797 -0.327359460
IL 0.6292104 0.3707896 0.258420830
IN 0.3935435 0.6064565 -0.212912918
KS 0.3926212 0.6073788 -0.214757639
KY 0.3497526 0.6502474 -0.300494889
LA 0.3560410 0.6439590 -0.287918094
MA 0.7168896 0.2831104 0.433779105
MD 0.6958633 0.3041367 0.391726528
ME 0.5308527 0.4691473 0.061705328
MI 0.5061930 0.4938070 0.012386091
MN 0.5018941 0.4981059 0.003788284
MO 0.3965334 0.6034666 -0.206933201
MS 0.3652810 0.6347190 -0.269438048
MT 0.3847481 0.6152519 -0.230503755
NC 0.4837907 0.5162093 -0.032418515
ND 0.3674571 0.6325429 -0.265085798
NE 0.4360252 0.5639748 -0.127949661
NH 0.5303307 0.4696693 0.060661306
NJ 0.6281252 0.3718748 0.256250444
NM 0.5275014 0.4724986 0.055002735
NV 0.4939147 0.5060853 -0.012170677
NY 0.6926514 0.3073486 0.385302877
OH 0.4581342 0.5418658 -0.083731566
OK 0.3417259 0.6582741 -0.316548296
OR 0.6219119 0.3780881 0.243823851
PA 0.5074509 0.4925491 0.014901770
RI 0.6924835 0.3075165 0.384966999
SC 0.3796763 0.6203237 -0.240647376
SD 0.3950389 0.6049611 -0.209922243
TN 0.3648910 0.6351090 -0.270217961
TX 0.4669551 0.5330449 -0.066089869
UT 0.3912463 0.6087537 -0.217507493
VA 0.5741305 0.4258695 0.148260978
VT 0.6841858 0.3158142 0.368371630
WA 0.6435182 0.3564818 0.287036381
WI 0.5084758 0.4915242 0.016951628
WV 0.2892774 0.7107226 -0.421445208
WY 0.2688169 0.7311831 -0.462366170